Nov 14. 2022

Page removed after FTX debacle.

And then I decided to remove it completely after May 24 2023 - EU started to chop crypto feeds.

We'll be honest, May was a rough month for Bitcoin and crypto markets. BTC was down about 8% on the month and it decoupled from stocks (in the wrong direction)

June 12 2023.

The Bitcoin market has reached a stage of extreme apathy and exhaustion, with volatility measures and several key on-chain indicators reaching all-time-low readings.

Aug 15 2023.

The only chart one needs to know is the chart of population of DC. They keep the numbers since 1800. Check it out.

Aug 24 2023.

Terra / Luna *idea* was actually not that bad. Implementation was insane. For starters, they picked the wrong collateral.

Aug 27 2023.

Figured out Nash's stuff. It's a mess.

Aug 28 2023.

There is only 3 coins that currently matter. One is backed by stupidity. Another is backed by insanity. Third is backed by (simple) math. And there is also one, that is an index.

Aug 29 2023.
Blue crab, blue crab
Among the black rocks in the shade...
Blue crab - I dreamed of it in a dream.
He has eight paws
Two huge claws
And silver stars on the back.

Fishermen catch fish
Whalers beat whales -
Busy from morning to morning.
Only me since then
Forgot about everything ready:
I'm looking all over the bay for where my crab lives.

- Well, why do you need him
This terrible beast of the sea?
It's very easy to get into trouble with him.
He has a terrible look
He's probably poisonous
Neither boil it nor put it in a jar.

- I won't sleep for a hundred nights -
I will think all about him
I will think, I will swim and be sad.
I would just take a look
With one eye on him
Just like that - look and let go ...

I would just take a look
With one eye on him
Just like that - look and let go ...

Aug 31 2023.

Turns out some poetry is pure propaganda and some is not.
Turns out a computer can tell the difference.
Hello girls,
Hello boys
Look at me through the window
And throw your fingers at me, yes
'Cause I'm planting aluminum cucumbers
On a canvas field.

Three Chukchi Wise Men
They tell me, they tell me endlessly:
"Metal will not bear fruit,
The game is not worth the candle, and the result is not worth the labor",
But I plant aluminum cucumbers
On a canvas field

Evil white knee
Trying to get me
A knee pricks a vein with a stake
Hoping to solve the mystery
Why do I plant aluminum cucumbers
On a canvas field?

Buttons, paper clips, rivets,
Holes, rolls, forks,
Here my tractors will pass
And fall into the piggy bank, fall there,

Where I plant aluminum cucumbers
On a canvas field.

Sep 02 2023.

Maltese Falcon 1931 is not Maltese Falcon 1941.

For several decades, unedited copies of the 1931 film could not be seen in the United States; these restrictions were lifted following the demise of the Motion Picture Production Code in the mid-1960s. For television airings in the United States, the film was retitled Dangerous Female to avoid confusion with the 1941 remake.

Jordan, China, Palestine, Pakistan, Lybia, NK, RU, BY, CU, Austria, Slovenia, VE, Iran

I breathe silver and spit copper


Sep 03 2023.

This BTC thing is literally based on one of Norbert Wiener's statements (check out his definition of information) How many people understood him? *not*many*. He had his reasons to speak the way he did.

Sep 05 2023.

Gotta love work of Nassim Nicholas Taleb. In his book "Fooled By Randomness" he clearly and openly told everybody how to make as much money as they like from NY stock market. Then they asked him to write a paper on crypto. In that paper he (again - very clearly) told everybody, how to make as much money as they like from crypto. *But* he slightly altered the tune (the same way crypto altered the tune). The guy is brilliant in what he does. He could have only written one book - "Fooled By Randomness". Then if that book is too much (most people are illiterate), could have written only first chapter of that book! If *that* is too much for a reader, could just look at the book cover. The guy is perfect in what he does. True artist. TAlib is a library by the way. Techical Analyzis Library. And I also think that the real title of the book was "Fooled By Rand". The smart trader is under no obligation to explain everything, really.

And of course everybody likes it better, when they are told "a beautiful black swan took all your savings". Sounds better than "a bunch of illiterate degenerates with a few computers destroyed life of millions and millions (including your life)". The swan thing sounds more comforting. True artists can be dangerous.

I have to write this down. 1. Traders are not speculators. Two different words mean two different things. 2. Traders set up reliable routes. Speculators find the gaps. 3. The trader hates volatility (trade is a bridge. Earthquackes are bad for business). The speculator *needs* violatility more than anything else ("blood in the streets" and all that bullshit). Those two professions form the equlibrium. 4. Calling speculator a "trader" is ridiculous, but most people will never know the difference.

Sep 06 2023.
You can't say everything in one verse,
Life goes on in a magical, secret way,
You are knitting a long scarf for someone,
Just waiting for someone, not sad about them.

Thoughtful loops are falling,
You look at the knuckle - everything turns yellow bone,
And you don't know if he will come or not,
And what he will be, the long-awaited guest.

Will he knock on the window in the morning
Or with an inaudible foot will come out of the darkness
And with a smile, a little scary,
Everything will dissolve at once that you have tied.

Sep 06 2023. It was a long day.

Markov Chain -> "drunkard's walk". If your crypto casino people don't know about this little trick, somebody will rob your crypto casino some day. By changing one koefficient in one table. And you will never notice. The math is 19 century.

Three Poems - found the last one and then found remaining 2 and placed to the separate page.

Sep 08 2023

Figured out a killer app for each and every blockchain on a planet. I think whoever put this stuff in motion, they had that very idea in mind when they started it (some prominent VCs were making clear statements why they fuel this cycle of technology). The surprising moment? Not one of those promises was actually implemented in reality (how many more years it will take to implement a simple IOU? It's a joke. The barriers are *not* technical, the technlogy is out there for 6+ years now).

So it's not enough to declare the goal (like VCs did) also need to find a way to deliver on that goal. Took me few years, but as of today I can take any existing blockchain on the planet and uplift it. Don't think it's possible? It's possible. They all have no idea what is the endgame. They have no clue, clearly.

When some idea is simple, is declared openly, broadcasted to millions of people for many years and yet it is *not* happening, there is only one explanation possible. The stuff is important - planet scale. (And it is). There was only one movie openly talking about this element. Tarkovsky's Stalker. 1979. The scientist *only* speaks for a short time in that movie, but naturally, his words matter a lot. I seen that movie too many times and only recently I understood what is he talking about and the key principle of planet governance (that is being spelled out by the scientist. And like all scientists, he was not even making a statement. He was thinking out loud. Very elegant.) The movie is free. It's on youtube. It's dubbed. That very key principle has been violated recently. In EU. It might backfire. Gambling with key principles of civilization is really dumb idea.

Sep 09 2023

NY continues the "eliminate what we created" agenda. First blow was long time ago with "no mining allowed". Second blow was today (and it might become decisive).

Sep 10 2023

Cult influencers continue to feed of their followers. This is not sustainable.

If you google for "billiard balls paradox" you will find one abstract (and not interesting) stuff around hypotetical situation. The one that I rememeber (I seen it on TV long time ago) was *very* pragmatic and it was explaining for example why there is no way out of some situations - because the move that increases the entropy does *not* have the exact symmetrical move which will reverse the entropy. Last 6 years (and the next few years) are all based on that trick.

Sep 11 2023

"earth stands on whales" - I entered it into google search. And then the same into bing search. Holy Crap! duckduckgo is licensing bing engine, looks like. They're identical. yandex is a joke. I think they might be switching to Chat GPT engines now and I think the non-GPT web will gradually become complete garbage. And GPT web will be 100% paid.

Sep 14 2023

NFTs: Rememeber Them? Kids are crying, they need somebody to help them salvage NFTs. Well, to begin with, they should have studied Identicon thing before going into non-fungibility dark alley. 1. NFTs can be seen as a *superset* for any existing currency. It's hard to see because of chicken/egg smoke screen, and also because it goes back to some really dark civilization aspects. It's no coincidence, for example, that it was Don, who created Identicon, in the first place. 2. It took me a few minutes to blend Identicon with Crypto. No, there will be no links. Come visit Don. Or come visit me. We are both still in SFBA. Only counties are very different.

Sep 17 2023

With almost all Short-Term Holders now underwater on their position, sentiment has shifted towards the negative.

Speaking of Markov Chains. When picking up mushrooms in the forest, some people look under their feet. Some other people look up and far away.

Sep 19 2023

Plenty of things become obvious if one takes quadrant scales as "civilization" and "oil". It becomes rather clear, who is sliding towards 1:1 and who is climbing out of 0:0 (those are extremes). I am in 0.5/0.5 sliding towards 0/1. There is also one interesting place that figured it all out in the 70s and started to morph their 0/1 into 0.5/0.5. By stealing people from 1/0.5 segment. It became rather obvious recently, yes, but the process started in 70s. Talk about people, who think in centuries.

Sep 23 2023

Investopedia - Nash surprisingly good. (Non-surprisingly) rhythms with Taleb's "Randomness".

In EU villages are destroyed. In US cities are destroyed.

Something is a little bit off when the 'bums' ride electric scooters. Or when the 'beggars' are dressed better, compared to 90% of people around them.

Sep 24 2023

Nikolai Kozyrev - this is Wikipedia. The English article is missing the most important stuff about this particular guy. I did what he said should be done. And it works. His stuff works exactly how he described it should be done. Only you will need to check out the Russian version of the same article.

Sep 25 2023